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History of heavy favorites in title games

The New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks are currently favored by at least a touchdown in the AFC and NFC Championship games.

But if history is to be used as a guide, one of them could have a tough time advancing Sunday. Each of the last four times both conference title games featured touchdown favorites, one of the favorites lost outright.

2007 — New England (won)/Green Bay (lost)
2001 — Pittsburgh (lost)/St. Louis (won)
1999 — Jacksonville (lost)/St. more